Rough As Guts - Friday and Saturday Value Bets 21/10/22 and 22/10/22

Happy to have some early specs on the two day Manikato and Cox Plate carnival.

Moonee Valley - Friday

Race 8

Agnelli - 1 unit win, 1 unit place (currently $8 win and $2.5 place with Baggybet) - Comes into this third up and has performed best when third and fourth up into a prep in the past. Gets to a suitable distance now and the inform Blake Shinn takes the ride who is striking at 20% his last 50 rides.

Market - MOONEE VALLEY Race 8 Cirka Bm 70 Odds | baggybet

Moonee Valley - Saturday

Race 3

Boldinho - 0.5 unit win, 0.5 unit place (currently $10 win and $3.1 place with Baggybet) - He is an on pacer who has been racing well over the 1000m and now steps to the 1200m fourth up. He has an opportunity in this race to sit behind the likely leader in Shalaman who will attempt to cross from 12 and if he gets a soft time behind I expect him to be somewhere in the finish.

Market - MOONEE VALLEY Race 3 Sharp Extensive It Red Anchor Odds | baggybet

Race 7

Dashing - 0.25 unit win, 0.5 unit place (currently $21 win and $4.8 place with Baggybet) - I thought this horse was very in the Caulfield Guineas when leading throughout in the Caulfield Guineas to be beaten just 1.6 lengths. That run sets up well for another attempt at leading around the Valley and with Linda Meech sticking I feel this horse is over the odds and an excellent place chance.

Market - MOONEE VALLEY Race 7 Drummond Golf Vase Stakes Odds | baggybet

Race 8

Sacramento - 1 unit win, 1 unit place (currently $11 win and $3.5 place with Baggybet) - On pacer who I would like to see lead here. The run was better than it reads on paper last start when going 8.1 lengths above to the 600m he still managed to hold on for third. Now into this on the quick 7 day back up I think he is an excellent winning chance at a good price.

Market - MOONEE VALLEY Race 8 Mccafe Moonee Valley Gold Cup Odds | baggybet