Rough As Guts - Saturday Value Bets 15/10/22
Randwick
Happy to have some early specs on an improving Randwick surface. Rail in true I expect every horse to get their chance.
Race 5 - The Kosi
Talbragar & Le Melody - 0.25 unit win, 0.25 unit place each runner (currently $31 win and $7.5 place and $21 win and $6 place respectively with Baggybet) - I am keen to have a small play on the two lightest raced runners in the field. Both go forward and if something is amiss with the more favoured runners in the market, I expect these two will be somewhere in the finish.
Market - RANDWICK Race 5 The Kosciuszko Odds | baggybet
Race 8 - Silver Eagle
Loch Eagle - 1 unit win, 1 unit place (currently $12 win and $3.8 place with Baggybet) - The last start win has to be seen to be believed. Well back on the turn, he charged home of a very slow tempo to produce some of the fastest closing sectionals of the meeting and was soft on the line. He is the one with immense upside in this race and has also handled heavy tracks in the past 4:2-1-0.
Market - RANDWICK Race 8 Silver Eagle Odds | baggybet
Race 10 - Angst Stakes
Hope In Your Heart - 0.5 unit win, 0.5 unit place (currently $11 win and $3.5 place with Baggybet) - She may not be the best horse in the race, but potentially she has the strongest will to win in this field. She is a line finder that just keeps trying. If she is close enough on the turn she is the one that will be continuing to grind right through the line up to the mile.
Market - RANDWICK Race 10 Furphy Angst Stakes Odds | baggybet
Caulfield
Race 7 - The Mccafe Sprint
Ashford Street - 0.5 unit win, 0.5 unit place (currently $10 win and $3.1 place with Baggybet) - Gets in light and has performed well at the track in the past. What is important to note is that some of his highest rated wins have come on heavy tracks where he is unbeaten in two attempts when on heavy conditions.