Rough As Guts - Saturday Value Bets 8/10/22
Randwick
Happy to have some early specs given the forecast and current heavy 10 track rating at Randwick - hopefully they still go ahead!
Race 1
Golden Lunar- 1 unit win, 1 unit place (currently $21 win and $4-6 place with Baggybet) - I feel this runner is well over the odds and it would not surprise me to see it shorten significantly before jump. Under the minimum carrying just 52.5kg, this will be a huge advantage for this runner on a potential bog track. Further she has a solid record on heavy tracks 5:2-2-1 and is racing well to give a huge sight here.
Market - RANDWICK Race 1 Tab Highway Hcp C 3 Odds | baggybet
Race 4
Selous - 1 unit win, 1 unit place (currently $10 win and $2.6 place with Baggybet) - Missed the start and ended up winning comfortably over 1000m first up, producing meeting fastest closing sectionals. This is a big step up in grade, but you simply have to respect the aggressiveness of the placement from the camp who clearly have an opinion of this lightly raced galloper.
Market - RANDWICK Race 4 Polytrack Roman Consul Stakes Odds | baggybet
Race 8
Loch Eagle - 1 unit win, 1 unit place (currently $11 win and $3.5 place with Baggybet) - The last start win has to be seen to be believed. Well back on the turn, he charged home of a very slow tempo to produce some of the fastest closing sectionals of the meeting and was soft on the line. He is the one with immense upside in this race and has also handled heavy tracks in the past 4:2-1-0.