2022 The Cox Plate Runner By Runner Preview, Odds & Tips.
Welcome to Josh Shields early preview of the 2022 Cox Plate, where he casts his view over each and every runner lining up for the $5 million. Past winners include State Of Rest, Sir Dragonet, Lys Gracieux, Winx, Adelaide, Shamus Award, So You Think, Makybe Diva, Northerly, Might And Power, & Kingston Town.
If you’d like professional, accountable, WINNING betting advice for the 2022 Cox Plate, then check out Jackson Oldham’s product. He’ll be in the yard on Saturday firing off bets race-by-race.
Enough waffle, let’s get stuck into the 2022 Cox Plate, with odds provided by BaggyBet.
1 - Zaaki (1) - $5
J: J. Kah
T: A. Neasham
The first of the Cox Plate redemption horses after he was unfortunately scratched from the race with an elevated temperature last year. Each run this preparation has looked like its been geared up for the Grand Final which is this weekend. He hasn’t been suited by the slow tempos in the Underwood and Might and Power, when drawing wide. Drawing the inside marble should allow Kah to dictate the pace of the race which needs to be at a strong tempo if he is any chance of turning the tables on Anamoe. Has improvement to come I feel and is the main danger to the favourite.
2 - I’m Thunderstruck (10) - $15
J: M. Zahra
T: M. Price & M.Kent Jnr
Stable are going to have to take their medicine with the barrier draw forcing them to be negative from the barrier. Ridden positively worked well in the Might and Power but its going to be a different set up here. Doubt he can give the two favourites a further couple lengths head start and beat them here. Can fill a placing but can’t see him winning.
3 - Alligator Blood (12) - $21
J: T. Clark
T: G. Waterhouse & A. Bott
For him to get a strong 2040m he needed to draw inside Zaaki to dictate the pace of the race. The barrier throws a real spanner in the works for the team now, do they roll the dice and use him up early to find a forward spot or are they negative from the gate? I’m leaning to the negative side as he did really struggle to see out the 2000m in the Might And Power and he may be better having something to chase late. Either way don’t think he is good enough at this distance range to trouble the place getters.
4 - Mr Brightside (11) - $18
J: C. Williams
T: Ben & JD Hayes
Much improved effort in the Might and Power closing off in race fastest L600m sectional of the race. Like I’m Thunderstruck the barrier is going to make it hard for him to turn the tables on those more established at this distance range. Likely soft conditions suit but think his best efforts will still be a couple lengths off them.
5 - Mo’Unga (9) - $26
J: N. Rawiller
T: A. Neasham
Unlike his fancied stable mate, he can’t muster any gate speed what so ever. Since coming to Melbourne he has put in three solid runs building towards this goal. Been winless for a while now and would need to find a few lengths to trouble the favourites.
6 - Gold Trip (7) - $18
J: J. Spencer
T: C. Maher & D. Eustace
Looked home in the Caulfield Cup last week and is on the quick back up with an interesting addition of the blinkers for the first time. The blinkers being applied might see the improvement needed to challenge here, but being asked to peak twice in a week looks tough. The conditions will likely suit and he should be getting a good run from the draw. Place chance.
7 - Laws Of Indices (3) $31
J: J. Allen
T: A. Neasham
This bloke is completely airborne this preparation and comes out of the Toorak which was run at a very strong tempo. He had to make a long sustained run from the 800m and flew past boom horse I Wish I Win in the inferior wider lanes on Guineas day. Stepping up to the 2000m for the first time should be okay off that fast Toorak run and has drawn well to get the soft run. Big step up but think he can run a bold race if conditions don’t deteriorate badly. Worth a small speck and must be included in multiples.
8 - Young Werther (2) - $51
J: D. Lane
T: D O’Brien
Steps up into WFA grade now after two strong performances in in weaker grade than this. Jumps up 5kgs from his latest run in the Turnbull which is the weaker form line. Would have been a better chance last weekend in the Caulfield Cup. Looks tested.
9 - Maximal (5) - $51
J: B. Melham
T: J. O’Shea
Like last weekend is going to be up against it with the likely wet conditions. His form has been solid this time in and did beat Zaaki through the Brisbane winter. Will get a good run from the barrier, but his race will be dictated by the track conditions. Looking elsewhere.
10 - Anamoe (4) - $2.40
J: J. McDonald
T: J. Cummings
Arguably the best horse on the land has his shot at redemption from last years bizarre finish. Comes in undefeated this prep and still has the most improvement to come I feel from the Australian contenders. Has shown much better gate speed this preparation and from the barrier should be landing in the stalking position. He is the one to beat and looks set to be peaking at the right time.
11 - Profondo (6) - $51
J: C. Schofield
T: R. Litt
Thought he was disappointing in the Turnbull where he looked to have every chance. Think it's the weakest form line this year leading into this and would need to improve significantly. Wet conditions are a further negative. Looks tested.
12 - El Bodegon (8) $6.50
J: D. Oliver
T: C. Waller
The lone European contender in this years Cox Plate and brings some quality form lines from overseas. Handles the wet, will land in the first couple and has form over further than the Cox Plate distance. Will be in this for a very long way and is one of the key chances.
COX PLATE BEST BETS
10: Anamoe - Win at $2.40 at BaggyBet
If you’d like an expert eye from the yard for the final tick before betting on the 2022 Cox Plate, then be sure to grab professional punter Jackson Oldham’s product. He will be giving his race-by-race Mounting Yard mail to his subscribers to make sure you have a fill up at Moonee Valley.
*Odds correct at time of publishing, brought to you by BaggyBet.
